Weather Data Trends Colder Northern US April 10-15

Written by on April 2, 2020 in NatGasWeather - No comments

Thursday, April 2: Weather patterns trended colder yesterday across the northern US for April 10-15th, then trended further colder for this period in the overnight data with both the GFS and European models gaining several more HDD’s on top of the 10-15 HDD’s they added Wednesday. As such, the April 10-15th is now chilly enough to be considered neutral to potentially slightly bullish, a notable change compared to what the data showed to open the week. Essentially, after big milder trends after the weekend break, the weather data trended colder for late next week through mid-April and could be reason prices are a few cents higher overnight. Or prices could be higher due to oil prices spiking nearly 10% in overnight trade. Overall, weather patterns are near normal the next two days, warm and quite bearish late this weekend through mid-next week, but now neutral to a slightly bullish for April 11-15th after recent colder trends.

A very warm pattern is expected late this weekend through Wednesday of next week as a strong warm ridge builds from Texas to the Great Lakes.

 

Highs Mon-Fri next week will be very warm with 70s and 80s Texas to the Mid-Atlantic Coast, with 60s to near 70s as far north as Chicago to NYC.

 

Where recent weather data has trended colder is across the northern US for April 10-15 as cold shots over Canada push across the border.

 

While next week has lost several HDD’s in last nights European model, it continued to trend colder April 10-15 and is now neutral to slightly bullish those days.

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