Very Cold Weather Returning To US Next Week

Written by on February 19, 2014 in NatGasWeather - No comments

An Extremely Cold Arctic Blast To Hit US Next Week

 

We have been calling for a cold surprise to the nat gas and heating markets to close out February and the latest forecast data couldn’t have been more accommodating.  After a pathetic attempt at warm over the next few days, very cold air will return to much of the central and eastern US Friday with an even more impressive Arctic outbreak coming next week.  Just how sad is this coming warm up?  Chicago will warm up into the 40s for maybe 4 or 5 hours.  That’s it, literally a handful of hours Thursday afternoon and evening before dropping right back into the 20s.  The same story will unfold all across the northern US where temperatures briefly warm and then its right back into the cold a day or two later.  It will start with a strong storm tracking across the central and eastern US today and Friday with showers and thunderstorms ahead of the cold front and heavy snowfall over the Great Lakes Region.  But more importantly will be the reinforcing cold blasts to follow Sunday through Wednesday of next week.  In fact, the cold blast Tuesday and Wednesday of next week will likely be hyped by national media as the 5th or 6th cometh of the Polar Vortex.  What it will bring is an impressive Arctic blast with temperatures over the highest use states of the northern US dropping well below zero and into the single digits for several days next week, which very well could last through the first several days of March.  In addition, next weeks cold should advance fairly deeply into the southeastern US, exacerbating demand for national heating demand.  This should clearly support prices in the near term.  An active and exciting weather pattern should continue through the first week of March, keeping the nat gas and heating markets on their toes as storage rapidly depletes toward 1.0 Tcf.

 

Ouch! Wow. That is sure a really cold air mass coming right for the northern US on February 25th. That would be a rude wake up to those wanting warm weather to hang on. This Canadian Blast would bring single digit and below zero temperatures to the highest use states of the northern US. It would then take days for the cold to moderate if there were no reinforcing cold blasts to follow, but there will be. This clearly should support prices.

Do the markets realize how impressive next weeks cold will be? If the following image plays out, this Arctic outbreak would bring extremely cold temperatures right over the highest use states of the northern US as temperatures well below zero. It would then take days for the cold to moderate if there were no reinforcing cold blasts to follow, but there likely will be. This clearly should support prices. Image is temperatures Feb 25th just off the surface in Celsius. Dark blues and purples is extremely cold, yellows and greens represent dangerously cold

 

natural gas weather

By Tuesday of next week a very cold Arctic air mass will be pushing into the northern US with temperatures dropping below zero and into the single digits. Even colder temperatures are expected to arrive by Wednesday and Thursday.

 

natural gas weather

The image shows ways the coming cold pattern could play out around February 27-28th with areas of colder or warmer temps in F depicted. Any way you slice it it will be cold over the highest use states of the northern US. How far into the Southeast is the only thing that remains uncertain.

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