Very Cold Pattern March 1-8! Warming South & East March 10-12.

Written by on February 25, 2019 in NatGasWeather - No comments

 

Monday, February 25:  Frigid cold blasts with Arctic origins are expected across the northern, central and eastern US March 1-9 with lows dropping into the -20s to 20s, including 20s and 30s into Texas and portions of the South for very strong national demand. The weekend weather data trending colder for the first week of March to add numerous Heating Degree Days. The coming pattern would be very bullish if it wasn’t for much of the data favoring warm conditions across the southern and eastern US March 10-12, although that’s quite far out.

 

Much of the weather data is currently favoring warmer conditions arriving across the southern and eastern US March 10-12 for lighter demand, although quite far out in time.

 

Both the GFS and European weather models add 15-20 HDD’s compared to Friday, but with the GFS a bit colder than the rest of the data. The pattern is neutral to very slightly bearish this week, then much colder than normal and quite bullish March 1-8. HDD’s/Demand is favored to then ease March 10-12 as warming occurs over the southern and eastern US but still quite far out in time.

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