Brutally Cold Temperatures Coming To US

Written by on January 3, 2014 in NatGasWeather - No comments

Extreme Cold Coming To Much Of The Central and Eastern US

 

A record breaking cold outbreak will sweep into the central US Sunday and advance deep into the Southeast Monday and Tuesday.  Temperatures will drop well below zero over all of the Midwest and into much of the Northeast, including daytime highs.  There is expected to be an impressive 100°F temperature difference spanning the Great Lakes to Florida.  Interestingly, there is one big thing missing with this impressive cold blast and that is widespread snowfall.  There will surprisingly be only minor snow accumulations, as there isn’t much moisture for the front to work with due to previous frontal boundaries preventing southern moisture from getting tapped.  Hard freezes are expected deep into the South and Southeast and wellhead freeze issues could result as overnight lows drop into the single digits and teens for Texas, Arkansas, and Louisiana.  We feel the markets continue to under estimate the intensity of the coming cold and the forecast models and national forecasts still need to catch up to the coming Arctic bite.  Around the 8th, temperatures will finally modify and warm to near normal across much of the central US, including the Midwest, which could use a much needed break from brutally cold temperatures. However, there will be several weather systems tracking across the US, leading to areas of rain and snow in this more zonal (west to east) pattern during the second week of January.

  

We still feel confident additional cold blasts will be coming to start the 3rd week of January and the forecast data continues to oblige us.  The central US looks to bear the brunt of the initial blast, but how far and fast eastward it progresses is still a bit uncertain.  It has been an active and exciting pattern for much of the central and eastern US the past few months and a complete bore for the western US.  That doesn’t look to change until at least the end of January.

 

A most imperssive cold outbreak will impact the US late this weekend through early next week. The temps are several thousand feet off the ground in Celsius and shows ridiculously cold conditions.  -40F is the same as -40C.  So it tells you this is real cold air if you reach where Fahrenheit and Celsius meet up.  Have the nat gas and energy markets factored in how impressive this is.

This most impressive cold outbreak will impact the US late this weekend through early next week. The temps are several thousand feet off the ground in Celsius and shows ridiculously cold conditions. -40°F is the same as -40°C. So it tells you this is real cold air if you reach where Fahrenheit and Celsius meet up. Have the nat gas and energy markets factored in how impressive this is? 14°C~60°F and -40°F=-40°C, which makes it nearly 100F temperature gradient across the US.

 

Wow!  It doesn't look as much more awesome than this as far as a very sharp cold front that stretches hunderds of miles across the boundary.  A mere 100F temperature difference from southern Florida to the Great Lakes.  The one thing about this blast that is missing is heavy snowfall.  There isn't a lot of moisture for the front to feed off of, so it ends up being a relatively meager snow maker.  However, there will be a weather system that spins up and tracks through the Midwest and Northeast with several inches of snowfall.

Wow! It doesn’t look much more awesome than this as far as a very sharp cold front that stretches hundreds of miles across the Southeast. A mere 100F temperature difference from southern Florida to the Great Lakes. The one thing about this blast that is missing is heavy snowfall. There isn’t a lot of moisture for the front to feed off of, so it ends up being a relatively meager snow maker. However, there will be a weather system that spins up and tracks through the Midwest and Northeast with several inches of snowfall.  Dashed lines are thickness values, which are essentially representing temperatures within a layer. the further into the blue, the colder, into the red, warmer. Shaded is accumulated rain or melted snowfall. Scale is on the left. The ability for ridiculous temperature extremes to set up like this is what makes the US see some of the most exciting weather on the planet.

 

The weather pattern for January 10th brings moderating temperatures to the central US as weak high pressure builds in.  There will still be weather systems providing inclement weather across the US.  One over the Northeast, Southwest, and a new one coming into the northern Rockies.  Lines are heights/pressure with shades yellows and red show spin in the atmosphere which typically leads to lift and inclement weather.

The weather pattern for January 10th brings moderating temperatures to the central US as weak high pressure builds in. There will still be weather systems providing inclement weather across the US. They are located over the Northeast, Southwest, and a new one coming into the northern Rockies. Lines are heights/pressure with shades of yellows and reds showing spin in the atmosphere which typically leads to lift and inclement weather.

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