Swings In National Demand Through April 2, Then Too Mild

Written by on March 25, 2019 in NatGasWeather - No comments

March 25, 2019:  No major changes over the weekend to the 15-day forecast with swings in national demand every several days for seasonal temperatures when averaged over weekly time frames. Although, as we mentioned in Friday’s mid-day update, the April 4-8th period was leaning to the warmer/bearish side with comfortable temperatures gaining across the country. This held true in most of the datasets, making the back end of the 15-day forecast bearish biased. Overall, both the GFS and European models were little changed through the weekend compared to Friday until the latest GFS data trended warmer for the first week of April. Overall, US weather patterns remain relatively neutral through April 2nd, then increasingly bearish Apr 3-7th, especially due to the European model showing widespread above normal conditions across the country.

Cool shot across the Great Lakes and Northeast Tue-Wed for a swing to stronger natonal demand as lows reach the teens to 30s.

 

Rapid warming across the East during the second half of this week will bring a swing back to lighter national demand. Still weather systems with cooling over the west-central US, but far from cold.

 

Cool conditions March 31-April 2 across the central US will bring another swing to stronger demand for a few days.

 

But a much milder/bearish set up is favored for much of the US April 4-8 where very light demand is expected besies the far north and portions of the West.

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