Strong Cold Blast Early Next Week…Milder After

Written by on April 11, 2014 in NatGasWeather - No comments
Strong Cold Blast To Push Deep Into US Sunday Through Tuesday

 

We have been calling for a fairly strong cold blast to hit the central and eastern US early next week for quite awhile and it will play out nicely as another strong Spring storm taps into some very cold Canadian air and drives it deep into the central US.   The coldest air will set up over the Plains, Midwest, and Ohio Valley regions Monday before advancing into the Northeast Tuesday.  This will lead to temperatures dropping 10-20°F below seasonal normals and bring several days of above normal nat gas and heating demand.  In addition, a strong line of thunderstorms will develop along the cold front and impact many areas with heavy rains and the potential for severe storms.  Until the cold blast starts to push in late this weekend, much of the US will see pleasant temperatures with highs into the 70s and 80s for most central and southern locations.  Temperatures will warm over the eastern US late this weekend ahead of the cold outbreak before dropping Tuesday.  Once the cold has become established, cooler than normal conditions will hang on through the end of the week over much of the northern US before gradually warming next weekend.  It should be noted, the cold will have a bit of a struggle to push into the immediate Norhtheast coast as the cold front is fizzling on impact, which will save some very high population cities from getting into the cold for very long.    Thereafter, the pattern remains very active with additional cool blasts and warm surges to continue in a very exciting weather pattern through the end of the month.  The cold next week and the active ongoing pattern will slow the refilling of reserves and keep supplies below 1.0 Tcf for at least several more weeks, which will also keep them about 1.0 Tcf lower than the 5 year average.  We will post a fresh pattern update to www.natgasweather.com after the morning forecast data comes in.

 

 

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Much cooler than normal conditions will push into the US late Sunday over the central US and then gradually spread east early next week. Temperatures will be quite mild out ahead of the cold front, such as over the eastern US by late this weekend where highs will finally warm above normal for several days.

 

The cold front early next week will bring some heavy showers and thunderstorms through the eastern US.  The image shows a nice line of thunderstorms moving into the Norhteast ahead of the cold blast on Tuesday. thunderstorms

The cold front early next week will bring some heavy showers and thunderstorms through the eastern US. The image shows a nice line of thunderstorms moving into the Northeast ahead of the cold blast Tuesday.

 

Lows Tuesday morning next week will quite chilly with 20s and 30s over much of the northern and central US with teens toward the Canadian border.  Several days of cool conditions early next week will lead to higher than normal nat gas and heating demand.

Lows Tuesday morning next week will be quite chilly with 20s and 30s over much of the northern and central US with teens toward the Canadian border. Several days of cool conditions early next week will lead to higher than normal nat gas and heating demand.

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How can you not by itching to know just how much colder than normal it will be next week.  Well, quite a bit so.  Temperature anomalies of 10-25F colder than normal will cover all of the central and eastern US Wednesday, leading to strong nat gas and heating demand for Spring.

How can you not by itching to know just how much colder than normal it will be next week?Well, quite a bit so. Temperature anomalies of 10-25°F colder than normal will cover all of the central and eastern US Wednesday, leading to several days of strong nat gas and heating demand for Spring.

 

 

 

Cool blasts will continue through the end of the month.  The image shows the potential for a decent cool blast about two weeks out around April 24th.  We are not saying it will play out exactly like this, just the pattern is favorable to happen.  This will keep the central and eastern US on a roller coaster ride of temperatures between warm surges and cool blasts, while the Southwest US remains quite hot under a strong ridge.

Cool blasts will continue through the end of the month. The image shows the potential for a decent cool blast about two weeks out around April 24th. We are not saying it will play out exactly like this, just the pattern is favorable for it to happen. This will keep the central and eastern US on a roller coaster ride of temperatures between warm surges and cool blasts, while the Southwest US remains quite hot under a strong ridge.

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