Stormy Weather To Continue Over US

Written by on April 1, 2014 in NatGasWeather - 1 Comment

Spring Storms To Roll Across US Next Few Weeks

 

Several spring storms will track across the US over the coming weeks, leading to wild swings in temperatures for many regions of the US.  More importantly, each weather system will tap cool Canadian air on the backside of it and push colder than normal conditions fairly deep into the central and eastern US at times.  This will prevent any of the highest use northern US nat gas states from seeing a prolonged period of milder than normal temperatures, at least not quite yet.  Timing wise, there will be two weather systems spinning up over the next few days and tracking through portions of the central, southern, and eastern US, with the Great Lakes being hit hardest.  Ahead of these systems, mild conditions will surge into the Mid-Atlantic and much of the Northeast over the next few days, easing nat gas and heating demand.  However, as the second storm barrels through Friday, a cool blast will follow into the weekend before a brief warm up takes place early next week ahead yet an even more impressive spring storm and associated cold blast.  Next weeks storm is quite tricky as there will be ample opportunity for the weather system to phase with some cold Canadian air and push it deep into the southern US, with freezing temperatures possible into the Gulf Coast states.  How impressive the cold will be can still play out in many ways, but there is potential for many regions to see numerous days of much colder than normal conditions and high nat gas and heating demand.  This would likely play out to be more impactful  to the heating markets than they might be expecting.  There is potential for a decent warm up to take place thereafter, around March 11th-14th.  The forecast models continue to struggle on how this will unfold, but it is likely a fairly big ridge of high pressure will advance into the Plains and towards the eastern US as the stormy pattern continues, just in a milder version.  We do caution a prolonged warm up is not guaranteed for any region as the models are more likely to trend colder than warmer as there will be plenty of cold air lurking near the Canadian border which could bring cold surprises to the markets later in the month.

 

 

A fairly strong spring storm will track into the eastern US Friday into Saturday with a nice surge of milder conditions into the Mid-Atlantic and portions of the Northeast.  However, on the back side of the weather system much cooler air will be brought into the central US and eventually the Midwest and Northeast for an increase in nat gas and heating demand.

A fairly strong spring storm will track into the eastern US Friday into Saturday with a nice surge of milder conditions into the Mid-Atlantic and portions of the Northeast. However, on the back side of the weather system much cooler air will be brought into the central US and eventually the Midwest and Northeast for an increase in nat gas and heating demand.

 

After a fairly decent weather system tracks through the eastern US Friday, chilly air being drawn on the backside of it will lead to lows in the 30s and 40s pushing fairly deep into the Plains and Southeast.  While its not the coldest airmass, it will lead to a night or two of above normal demand.

After a fairly decent weather system tracks through the eastern US Friday, chilly air being drawn on the backside of it will lead to lows in the 30s and 40s pushing fairly deep into the Plains and Southeast. While its not the coldest airmass, it will lead to a night or two of above normal demand.

 

natural gas weather

Next week another strong jet streak will push across the central and then eastern US. This has the potential to be a very strong storm with very active weather along the cold front and cold and snow into the colder air over the Midwest and eventually Northeast. As this storm exits next week, temperatures will moderate for several days before the next one follows coming out of the western US.

 

Early next week there should be a fairly impressive storm tracking through the central and eastern US

Early next week there should be a fairly impressive storm tracking through the central and eastern US.  There is also very good potential for cold air to be brought quite deep into the southern US, which would lead to above normal nat gas and heating demand for many regions. After this storm departs around the middle of next week, a surge of milder conditions should push over much of the central and eastern US, easing demand.  But that’s 10 days out and things will likely need to be ironed out.  Not to mention every time the models shows such warming national forecasts bite and then it doesn’t play out to the extent which it was advertised. Image shows temperatures in Celsius several thousand feet off the ground.

 

One Comment on "Stormy Weather To Continue Over US"

  1. MatthewFiT June 2, 2020 at 6:27 am ·

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