Friday Morning January Pattern Update

Written by on January 3, 2014 in NatGasWeather - No comments

Very Cold Arctic Outbreak Coming Late This Weekend…Warm Up To Follow

 

The latest morning suite of meteorological data didn’t offer any surprises and came in line with our going forecast.  Don’t get us wrong, this latest cold outbreak and quick shot of snow was impressive, but the bite of the bitter cold barreling deep into the southeastern US late this weekend will be more intense.  Huge nat gas and energy draws will occur January 5-7th as temperatures drop more than 30°F degrees colder than normal for much of the eastern US.  There will be some snowfall along the front, especially into the Northeast as a weather system spins up with strong brisk winds blowing snow.  Several inches of snow should again be expected across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.   The pattern is still expected to become zonal after January 8th as cold air retreats out of the US.  This will lead to several weather systems tracking across the US, including the West.  Nat gas demand will ease during this period, but should still remain moderate.  We still expect additional cold outbreaks to return to the north-central US around January 14th and gradually sweep into the southern Plains and toward the eastern US coast during week 3.

 

These are the expected afternoon temperatures for Monday.  Highs of -10 to -20F below for the Midwest.  Once the cold pushes into the Southeast highs will struggle to get out of the 20s and teens.

These are the expected afternoon temperatures for Monday. Highs of -10 to -20F below for the Midwest. Once the cold pushes into the Southeast, highs will struggle to get out of the 20s and teens.  A 100F temperature gradient will set up across the US as well, which will help drive strong,  brutally cold winds.  Did we say it was going to be cold?

 

We have been forecasting additional cold weather to return around January 14th and the forecast data keeps obliging.  The image is the latest Friday morning forecast run showing a new cold blast and low pressure trough sweeping into the central US for a return to above normal nat gas use following the milder week 2 pattern.

We have been forecasting additional cold weather to return around January 14th and the forecast data keeps obliging. The image is the latest Friday morning forecast run showing a new cold blast and low pressure trough sweeping into the central US for a return to above normal nat gas use following the milder week 2 pattern.

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