Big Weekly Nat Gas Draw Coming

Written by on March 12, 2014 in NatGasWeather - No comments
Week Long Cold Spell To Be Factored Into Storage Report

 

 March 12th, 11am EST

There is no doubt a big weekly nat gas draw will released with Thursday mornings storage report. The draw period, February 28th-March 7th, started with cold air already in place over much of the northern US as a cold Canadian blast had just swept through the region. A strong winter storm then tracked through the northern Plains and into the Midwest a day later with a swath of heavy snowfall through the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic. However, ahead of this storm a surge of warmer temperatures briefly pushed into the Mid-Atlantic and portions of the Northeast coast for a day of lighter nat gas and heating demand. This was short lived as an impressive cold front pushed deep into the Plains and then through all of the eastern US by Sunday as temperatures of 20-30°F colder than normal became established. These temperatures gradually modified over the southern US but reinforcing cold blasts closed out the draw period over the northern US. Overnight lows consistently dropped into the single digits and below zero for most of the highest use nat gas states of the Midwest and Northeast throughout. The draw will be quite a bit above average due to the extent of the cold into the southern US and the intensity of it over the northern US. Estimates for this coming draw surprisingly vary more than usual with estimates between -180 Bcf to -205 Bcf, with anything over -196 dropping supplies below 1.0 Tcf. The following images highlight the main weather features that impacted the weather over the week while also detailing the below normal temperatures that occurred.

 

A major winter storm will track across the central and eastern US this weekend.  A wintery mess will set up over the southern Great Lakes Region and Ohio Valley.  The Northeast will also receive snowfall but the heaviest amounts will be just south toward the Mid-Atlantic.  Wet weather continues to impact the western US.

A major winter storm tracked across the central and eastern US during the first few days of the draw period. A wintery mess set up over the southern Great Lakes Region and Ohio Valley. The Northeast did receive some snowfall but the heaviest amounts occurred just south toward the Mid-Atlantic.

 

Natural Gas Weather

The storm brought a swath of winter fun to portions of the eastern US. The band of heaviest snow set up over the southern stretches of the Northeast and into the Mid-Atlantic.

Temperature anomalies throughout the week were quite cold over much of the central and eastern US

Temperature anomalies throughout the week were quite cold over much of the central and eastern US.  The only modestly warm day over the Northeast occurred Sunday ahead of a strong winter storm. Purples indicate temperatures more than 30F colder than normal with dark blues 10-20F colder. The only day of relatively mild conditions was Saturday ahead of a major winter storm.

7dTDeptUS_march7dept

This image sums it up best. Temperature anomalies over the Midwest were an impressive 20-30F colder than normal, which is an exceptional amount to be averaged over an entire week. the Northeast wasn’t quite as cold, but still much colder than normal.

 

 

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