• Weather Patterns Still Not Hot Enough
    July 29, 2019

    Monday, July 29: The weekend weather data was little changed with the GFS adding a mere 1 CDD, which means holding a comfortable pattern across the Midwest and east-central US much of the next two weeks as weather systems arrive with showers and [&he


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  • Much Lighter National Demand This Week, Increasing Next Week
    July 22, 2019

    Monday, July 22:  National demand will plummet today and Tuesday as the recent heatwave rapidly fizzles as a strong cool front with showers and thunderstorms with highs of 70s and 80s sweeps across all states east of the Rockies besides portions of


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  • Very Hot US July 17-23, Then Cooling East
    July 15, 2019

    Monday, July 15:   The new trading week will be weighing a plethora of important factors that could impact prices, highlighted by tropical system Barry that’s resulted in decreased production over the Gulf of Mexico and inland but with losses in d


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  • Hot Trends for Mid-July Hold
    July 8, 2019

    Monday, July 8: Since the weather data didn’t back off on hotter patterns arriving for mid-July, this could be reason if prices were to open higher. The data is hottest July 12-20th by favoring unseasonably strong upper high pressure over the south


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  • Machine Learning Shows EIA Build for Next Week Steadily Dropping Over Time
    June 28, 2019

    Friday, June 28: For next week’s EIA weekly storage report, due to both hotter and cooler trends by the European model, the forecast build size has dropped from 100 Bcf on the first estimate June 13 to 80 Bcf off yesterday’s data. We […]


Hotter This Week, But First Week of July Mixed

June 24, 2019, No comments

Monday, June 24: After a slightly cool start to the week today, temperatures will heat up across much of the country the rest of the week with highs o ...

Wx Model Differences Continue Between GFS & ECMWF

June 18, 2019, No comments

Tuesday, June 18: Large differences continue between the GFS and European model, which were further exacerbated in the overnight data as the GFS trend ...

Waiting On Summer Heat

June 10, 2019, No comments

Monday, June 10:   The weekend weather data maintained a rather unimpressive pattern through mid-June, but some of the models continues to tease hott ...

  • Waiting On Hotter June Weather Patterns
    June 3, 2019, No comments

    Monday, June 3: Going into the weekend, weather patterns weren’t hot enough to impress, and they still aren’t as the weekend weather data failed to trend hotter. Specifically, the GFS were impressively consistent with both showing a net ...