Image of the Day

Monday:   After the weekend data lost several HDD’s, it was important for bulls the weather data not back down any further or it could lead to big disappointment. The overnight weather data did trend further warmer with both the GFS and European models losing a rather hefty 10+ HDD’s. The weather data still has frigid Arctic air set up over Western Canada and the US Rockies Jan 20-30. However, the amount of cold air that releases across the Midwest/Great Lakes and Northeast January 25-29 just isn’t as impressive as the data showed last week. This continues the streak of the weather data teasing a much colder pattern in the 11-15 day period only to trend notably warmer as the colder days drop into the 5-10 day forecast period, as they’ve done in nearly every instance the past two winters.  Graph above highlights how the overnight European model trended milder to lose 11 HDD’s. There’s still stronger demand coming Jan 23-30, just not as impressive as the data showed late last week.

 

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